Week 1 of the preseason is finished, which means that we
are likely just a few weeks away from your fantasy football draft. About time
for you to start looking at draft boards, running a couple mock drafts, coming
up with your team names, of course.
But with all the time and energy placed on creating your
rankings and figuring out your players, you might overlook digging a bit
further into your fantasy football draft strategy. Because, really, what is the
point of doing all the research if you don’t know how to use it.
Take a look at the top 10 fantasy football draft mistakes
that you need to avoid this year to take the first step in winning your fantasy
league.
10) Aiming for the Best at Each Position
Everyone should be shooting for the best player, right?
Well, to a certain extent, yes.
We all want the top running back, the top receiver, the
top quarterback, but thinking that you can have them all is unrealistic, and
can get you into some trouble on draft day.
Once you get to the middle rounds and have some starters,
some people jump at the chance to grab a high rated kicker or defense. Thinking
that having the Sebastian Jankowski in the eighth round is somehow a better
strategy than taking a backup RB and getting you kicker late. That the
Pittsburgh defense is somehow more important than a solid WR3.
It’s not.
So, once you have your best guys at skill positions, get
your backups. David Akers will not bring you fantasy glory when your second
running back gets hurt and you are forced to start a player you got off
waivers.
9) Choosing Safety in the Late Rounds
The easiest way to get a head start in any fantasy
football league is by taking some good gambles in the draft. Those that play
the late rounds safe are usually those who end up paying the price during the
season.
Once you have established your starters and have a few
key backups, you need to open up your playbook a little and start looking at
your sleeper list. Take a peak at those guys that you just have a feeling
about.
If you get it wrong, so what? It is someone that you can
drop and replace from the free agency list. But… if you get it right… you will
have taken a starter in round 12! There is no better feeling.
So rather than wasting a late round pick on a reliable,
safe name that will get you 3-5 points per week, take the risk. Gamble on a
boom-or-bust player that could end up starting for you and getting you 10 a
week.
8) NFL Combine Syndrome
It amazes me that there are people that actually do this
one. This mistake is 100% overthinking things. And if you make things too
complicated, then you are going to have a bad time.
Sometimes, we get fantasy football crushes on guys. We
just intently watched the NFL draft coverage and saw some incredible
40-yard-dash times, and some great vertical jumps. We are making our way
through the preseason, and seeing some receivers that are tearing up 3rd
string defenses.
And often times, this doesn’t even translate into the
NFL. And much more often, it doesn’t translate into fantasy football.
So, leave the scouting to the NFL pros. A late round
gamble never hurt anyone, but don’t rely on speed or strength when building
your fantasy team.
7) Drafting Based on Personal Preference
So, I have to admit, I do this a lot. As a fantasy
player, it usually means that we are also football fans. So, naturally, there
are players we love and players that we absolutely hold a blind hatred for.
If done in moderation, this is an easy mistake to get
around, but you can easily get into trouble if you are too extreme about it.
It is no secret that I am a die-hard Cowboys fan. And as
much as I don’t like them, I can’t limit myself by not considering players like
Victor Cruz or LeSean McCoy if they fall right into my lap.
If you have a grudge against a player, try your best to
look past it. It’s not the end of the world if you pick them up. It’s fantasy
football, not a relationship. Of course, don’t sweat it if you have that one
player you just don’t want. Take him off your board. Let someone else have him.
Keep in mind, the same principle holds true for the
players that you like. God bless you if you are a Miami Dolphin fan, but
outside of possibly Reggie Bush, you aren’t going to want to be stacking your
team with your favorite players.
I promise that if you don’t draft your favorite players
from your favorite time, they won’t find out about it.
6) Not Understanding the Scoring System of Your League
It’s a crucial, but often overlooked part of the game. If
you are in a Points Per Reception (PPR) league, you are going to have to draft
differently than if you were in a standard scoring league. Just one simple stat
can drastically change the makeup of your draft board.
There are many leagues that go beyond just a simple PPR
change. Some tweak quarterback stats like completions. Some take off points for
missed field goals. Some will award extra points for big plays or big weekly
performances.
So, before your draft, and before you even start making
your list of players, take a look at the league scoring rules. If will pay off,
and you can sit back an chuckle in your PPR draft when someone takes Michael
Turner before Darren Sproles.
5) Not Planning Past the First Four Rounds
Any dummy can pick up a magazine and draft a successful
first four rounds. I hear that they are even training mice to do this. Get your
running backs, get a receiver or two. Get your quarterback. It’s not a
difficult concept. Even those who don’t watch the NFL can name the best
players.
The key to having the best draft and ultimately winning
your league is the middle and late rounds. So, have a plan and a long enough
list to get your though each round and beyond. If you don’t have a game plan
and you don’t have a list, you are putting yourself at a huge disadvantage.
4) Not Paying Attention to the NFL Preseason
Earlier I mentioned the preseason. That you shouldn’t
base your picks on some no-name 6th WR who is beating up on third
string defenses. This is true. But paying attention to the Preseason is very
important. You just need to do it right.
Last year more than ever we saw running back committees
and wide receivers going five deep. Every team has competition at the skill
positions, and you need to watch these battles.
By watching, or at least paying moderate attention to the
San Francisco 49ers preseason, you will have an immediate leg up on the
competition, because you will have a feel for which of their seemingly 70 wide
receivers will likely be the favorite. Mario Manningham, Randy Moss, Michael
Crabtree. Seeing who gets the most work and the most attention in preseason
could put you in the position to take the right player once the round comes
along. The same can be said for at least
one position on nearly every team in the NFL.
Anyone who has ever run a fantasy team can tell you how
devastating injuries can be. So having that knowledge of who the third receiver
is on a team means that you can be ready to swoop in and claim him out of free
agency if that moment ever comes.
Arian Foster and Victor Cruz were both preseason stars.
And both of them went heavily undrafted before their breakout years. Except for
by those who actually knew to look for them.
3) Drafting Your Defense or Kicker Before the Last 2
Rounds
In no league is it better to draft Akers or Jankowski in
Round 8 than drafting a solid backup receiver or running back. No excuses. Wait
until the last round for your kicker. No exceptions.
David Akers had a brilliant year last year, but the
different in points per game between the second best kicker and the 15th
best kicker was less than 2 points. Not worth it.
Now, an argument can be made for jumping up a few rounds
for a defense, to each his own. I will sit back and take mine in the second to
last round. Due to a little strategy that I have, and we will be getting into
later. The Shuffling Defense Strategy.
2) Reaching for Name Value
Every league has a couple of players who will do this
one. Fantasy owners that will reach on a player just because of his name.
Case in point, Michael Vick being taken first over all
last year. We all see how that ended up. But taking a player based on name
always happens. Big names will go early. And you should let them. It’ll be disappointing
knowing that you have almost no shot at owning Victor Cruz, but realizing that
he is not worth an early second round pick makes you the real winner.
Then, when you get into the later rounds, you are going
to come across another wave of NFL names that you recognize. Names of players
that were once at the very top of their position. They are now falling to
middle rounds, but people will be taking them early, just because they are safe
picks.
Anquan Boldin was a fantastic wide receiver and fantasy
star… five years ago. As I said in a previous point, it is better take a risk
on a young guy that could potentially get you 10 points a game, than to pick
the older safer player who will rarely get your more than 7.
1) Not Preranking Your Players
I’m not saying this because I write a fantasy football
blog and because I post rankings. I’m saying this because its absolutely
unfathomable to me that someone would go in without a list. Do it, and do it
right.
There are books, magazines and websites all over the
place that give you access to rankings players and mock drafts to look at. Do
it.
Look at a bunch. Pull up multiple websites, get your ESPN
and Fantasy Football Magazines, sit down and compile your own list. Take the
time a couple days before your draft to write our your own. Enter a mock draft.
Get a feel for the rhythm of the draft and the timing of when players are
going.
Once you have researched and played a few trial runs, sit
down and write your list. You have your own personal style, your own sleeper
picks, your own bust ideas, your own favorite team and player.
Go with your gut. It might just pay off.
I promise. You’ll thank me.
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